Risk & insurance
Cyber threat forecasting
Forecast attack volume, vulnerability exploitation, alert demand, and security workload across the environment.
Sound familiar?
- Alert queues sized for quiet weeks and hit by loud ones
- Patching prioritized by severity score, not exploitation likelihood
- Analyst burnout from surges nobody planned for
Threat activity
events / hour · Live forecast
Driver
Security alerts
Driver
Vulnerabilities
Driver
Threat intelligence
Forecast horizon
Hours–12 weeks
Refresh cadence
Hourly or daily
Built for
Security operations · Threat intelligence
What you can predict
One forecast can answer several operational questions.
Use security telemetry, vulnerability exposure, threat intelligence, authentication behavior, scanning, campaigns, and external events to anticipate pressure on controls and teams.
Attack attempts
Exploitation probability
Alert volume
Analyst workload
Questions teams need answered
- Which threat class is likely to grow?
- What exposed asset creates the most risk?
- When will alert queues peak?
- Is the current increase expected or anomalous?
Data that can improve the forecast
Start with the history you already have. Add internal or external drivers only when backtesting shows that they improve the forecast on held-out periods.
What-if planning
Test a change before committing to it.
Compare a proposed change with the current baseline. See the expected direction, timing, range, and the assumptions behind the result.
A critical vulnerability is disclosed
Estimate exploitation and alert pressure
Increase monitoring sensitivity
Compare detection coverage and queue demand
Threat activity
events / hour · Scenario comparison
What if
A critical vulnerability is disclosed?
Driver
Security alerts
Driver
Vulnerabilities
Driver
Threat intelligence
From forecast to action
Keep the people making the decision in the loop.
01 · MONITOR
Forecast continuously
Refresh threat activity on a hourly or daily cadence as new data arrives.
02 · NOTIFY
Alert on meaningful changes
- Exploitation probability crosses a threshold
- Forecast alert volume exceeds capacity
03 · DECIDE
Put the result to work
Build a cyber threats forecast with your data.
Start with sample data, connect your own history, or talk with us about your target, horizon, and production requirements.